New Polls, Good News

The latest national Quinnipiac poll found that if the presidential elction were held today John Kerry would beat Bush 51-43. It also indicates that Bush's overall approval rating has dropped below 50 percent for the first time since he rose to power. There are all sorts of other findings available on their web site.

But look at this. "Only 2 percent of Democrats admire Bush and 18 percent are “satisfied” with him, but 51 percent are “dissatisfied” and 26 percent are “angry” with the President." The "anger" component, I think, is extremely relevant. The only problem is that the poll doesn't have an anger calculus for Republicans. That is where the real meat and potatoes of the election are going to be, and I suspect that the Republican number would be quite high, or at least high enough to result in some kind of attritrion rate.

According to Maurice Carroll, the director of the Poll, there is “Trouble for President Bush: Almost every American is worried about the federal deficit. Trouble for the Democrats: Most Americans disapprove of any form of recognition for same-sex couples.”

Gay marriage versus the deficit? I wonder what's going to get people out to vote.

Posted by Palabris at February 17, 2004 11:23 AM